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"Pay close attention to that man behind the curtain!"

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Ma Ying-jeou's spokesman distorts the truth

Even a pro-unification media* survey will back that up

Before I get to the distortion, let me start off with some info that's closer to the truth (and by that, I mean that the real numbers most likely favor an even greater degree of support for Taiwan independence). Here's a bit from a March 11, 2009 survey [236 KB PDF file] done by TVBS [translations, highlighting mine]:
台灣與大陸的關係:64%民眾傾向維持現狀,19%傾向獨立,僅5%傾向統一

Relations between Taiwan and the mainland: 64% of the public support maintaining the status quo, 19% support independence, and only 5% support unification

調查也發現,民眾對台灣與大陸的關係有19%民眾傾向獨立,較陳雲林訪台前(97年10月28日)的調查減少5個百分點(24%:19%),5%傾向統一,維持現狀的比例則由58%增加6個百分點,為64%。民眾比較希望兩岸關係維持現狀的比例,是近五年多以來最高的一次。進一步詢問民眾,如果只能從台灣獨立或是和大陸統一選擇一種時,66%民眾表示希望台灣獨立,希望與大陸統一的比例為17%,18%沒有表示意見,與陳雲林訪台前調查結果差異不大。

The poll also found that on the subject of relations between Taiwan and the mainland [sic], 19% support Taiwan independence, 5 percentage points lower than a poll taken before [China's ARATS chairman] Chen Yunlin visited Taiwan (October 28, 2008), while 5% supported unification, and the earlier 58% support for maintaining the status quo increased by 6 percentage points to 64%. Over the past 5 years, this is the highest preference the public has shown for maintaining the status quo. Taking the question one step further, when the public could only choose from independence or unification, 66% of the public expressed a desire for Taiwan's independence, 17% desired unification with the mainland [sic], and 18% stated no opinion, differing only slightly from a poll taken before Chen Yunlin's visit.
One thing you'll notice if you read that carefully is that the answer varies greatly, depending upon how the question is asked. Furthermore, remembering that TVBS has a pro-unification position, one can easily deduce that if their numbers are inaccurate in either direction, they would want to tweak those numbers so as to favor unification.

Now, let's look at what Presidential Office spokesman Wang Yu-chi (王郁琦) said on the fourth anniversary of China's "anti-secession" law (which "legislates" the arbitrary use of "non-peaceful means" against Taiwan):
"We think the mainland authorities should carefully consider the feelings of Taiwanese and handle their piece of legislation appropriately," Presidential Office Spokesman Wang Yu-chi (王郁琦) said.

Wang did not elaborate on what he meant by "appropriately," but said Taipei believed the "mainland authorities have the wisdom to know how to handle it appropriately."

Wang said President Ma Ying-jeou's (馬英九) position on the "Anti-Secession" Law has been consistent since it was enacted four years ago.

"He has insisted on protecting the sovereignty of the Republic of China and maintaining Taiwan's dignity," Wang said. "He has always believed the 'Anti-Secession' Law is unnecessary and unfeasible."

Wang said the legislation was unnecessary because the majority of Taiwanese were in favor of maintaining the "status quo" in the Taiwan Strait and are against Taiwanese independence.
Y'see? That's not exactly true. (Refer back to the information I highlighted in the TVBS survey.) If you ask Taiwanese to choose between independence and unification, a great majority will choose independence. Take the very real threat from China's 1,500 missiles out of the equation, and those numbers would favor independence even more. Change the word "unification" to the more accurate "annexation," and watch what happens. Taiwanese do not want their freedom to participate in the world to be oppressed by China for one more day -- much less indefinitely.

* Note TVBS' use of the word "mainland" (大陸).

UPDATE: As mentioned in the first comment below this post on Taiwan Matters, Taiwan Echo has a post which makes for good complementary reading: Poll Shows Ma's China Approach Is Overwhelmingly Unsupported by the People. Go read it now, and spread the word. If Ma won't ask for public opinion, then it must at least be discussed in every home and on every street corner. [/update]

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Cross-posted at Taiwan Matters!

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

In China, down is up

Hu's targeting whom?

Today's Taipei Times tells us about China's latest insane statement:
Hours before Barack Obama's inauguration as president, China called for stronger military ties with the US and said the key threats facing its national security were Taiwan, Tibet and Xinjiang.

Ministry of Defense Spokesman Colonel Hu Changming (胡昌明) said there were "difficulties" in military relations between the two countries and expressed hope the situation would improve.

"In this new period we hope that both China and the US could make joint efforts to create favorable conditions and improve and promote military-to-military relations," Hu told reporters.

Hu was responding to a question on planned US arms sales to Taiwan that resulted in China postponing a series of high-level military exchanges with the US last year.
First of all, Taiwan only purchases defensive weapons from the US. Secondly, with "China-friendly Ma Ying-jeou" (馬英九) in office, the US is less likely to sell Taiwan anything, since it might fall into the PRC's hands. Thirdly, despite China's recent mention of possibly removing some of the missiles it has targeting Taiwan, around 1,400 of those missiles still threaten us here.

The fact of the matter is that one of the greatest threats to the rest of the world is China.

How many missiles? Hu's status quo!
If there were 1,400 missiles in early 2008,
how many do you think there are now?
(Click to enlarge)

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Cross-posted at Taiwan Matters!

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Saturday, April 05, 2008

Chinese missiles continue to change the "status quo"

Even more missiles to shake your fist(s) at

A report in yesterday's Taipei Times gives us the latest numbers:
The number of tactical ballistic missiles deployed by China against Taiwan reached more than 1,400 at the end of last year, said the National Security Council (NSC), which said in May 2006 that the figure would rise to more than 800 by the end of that year.
Note that the number was already 900 before then end of 2006. Take a look at the following chart:

NOT a question: Hu's changing the 'status quo'!
(Click to enlarge)
How many Chinese missiles are targeting Taiwan?:
40 in 1996; 200 in 2000; 400 in 2004; 900 in 2006; more than 1,400 in early 2008!
Who's changing the "status quo"?
Hu's changing the "status quo"!
Can you see the real troublemakers yet?

The Taipei Times article goes on to say:
The full text of the report in Mandarin is available on the Presidential Office's Web site. An English version will be publicized at a later date.
Here's the link to the Mandarin version of the NSC report (1.1 MB PDF file).

FURTHER READING:
* The fictional 'status quo,' Part 1 (December 20, 2006, Taipei Times)
* The fictional 'status quo,' Part 2 (December 21, 2006, Taipei Times)

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Cross-posted at Taiwan Matters!

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